Friday, August 3, 2012

EL Niño





  • I learned that El Niño is defined by prolonged differences in Pacific Ocean Sea surface temperatures when compared with the average value. The accepted definition is a warming or cooling of at least 0.5 °C (0.9 °F) averaged over the east-central tropical Pacific Ocean. Typically, this anomaly happens at irregular intervals of 3–7 years and lasts nine months to two years. The average period length is 5 years. When this warming or cooling occurs for only seven to nine months, it is classified as El Niño/La Niña "conditions"; when it occurs for more than that period, it is classified as El Niño/La Niña "episodes".



  • I want to know more about how El Niño events begin when trade winds, part of the Walker circulation, falter for many months. A series of Kelvin waves—relatively warm subsurface waves of water a few centimetres high and hundreds of kilometres wide—cross the Pacific along the equator and create a pool of warm water near South America, where ocean temperatures are normally cold due to upwelling. The weakening of the winds can also create twin cyclones, another sign of a future El Niño. 


  • I would like to research on how  the last several decades the number of El Niño events increased, and the number of La Niña events decreased. The question is whether this is a random fluctuation or a normal instance of variation for that phenomenon or the result of global climate changes toward global warming.


  • I appreciate the fact that the first signs of an El Niño are:
    1. Rise in surface pressure over the Indian OceanIndonesia, and Australia
    2. Fall in air pressure over Tahiti and the rest of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean
    3. Trade winds in the south Pacific weaken or head east
    4. Warm air rises near Peru, causing rain in the northern Peruvian deserts
    5. Warm water spreads from the west Pacific and the Indian Ocean to the east Pacific. It takes the rain with it, causing extensive drought in the western Pacific and rainfall in the normally dry eastern Pacific.
That can give us the clues on how to know if this phenomena will happen that can help us on preparing ourselves.



  • With all of these information gathered, I can apply my learning and insights on my everyday life especially when it is summer. That I could apply and determine whether the phenomena occurs the way it should be.

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